S2 INTELLIGENCE REPORT

Date: 250927-2300z
Subject: Coordinated Protests Targeting U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) Facilities (Portland and Other U.S. Cities)
Precedence: PRIORITY
MagCon Threat Level: Elevated-YELLOW-3

Summary

Protest calls for Sunday, September 28, 2025, target U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) facilities nationwide, with Portland, Oregon as the epicenter amid over 120 consecutive nights of demonstrations. Left-wing activist networks on X (formerly Twitter), Telegram, and Reddit amplify “rise up” messaging against ICE enforcement, citing reports of a 30% deportation increase and local permit violations, escalating tensions with federal authorities.

On September 22, President Trump issued Executive Order (EO) 14097, designating Antifa as a domestic terrorist organization. Legal scholars caution that U.S. law typically limits such designations to foreign groups, raising constitutional questions.

On September 27, Trump announced a troop deployment to Portland and other ICE sites, directing Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth to authorize “full force, if necessary.” Local leaders, including Portland Mayor Keith Wilson, Oregon Governor Tina Kotek, and California Governor Gavin Newsom, sharply rebuked the move as provocative. Social media chatter, amplified by journalist Andy Ngo, indicates Antifa and communist groups plan “direct action,” with potential reinforcements from Seattle and Los Angeles.

Details Elevated

Portland, Oregon, the ICE field office at 4310 South Macadam Avenue, Suite 300, in the South Waterfront district, remains the focal rally point. Nearby are low-income Grays Landing housing and a K-8 school relocated in August due to tear gas risks. On September 26, the Portland Police Bureau (PPB) monitored gatherings of ~200 participants, noting peaceful marches, sporadic fireworks, and three vandalism arrests. The U.S. Department of Homeland Security (DHS) claims a “1,200% increase in assaults” on officers nationwide since January, with Portland incidents involving rocks, lasers, and graffiti labeling ICE the “American Gestapo” (protester slogan). City officials have documented 28 land-use violations by ICE since 2011, fueling eviction demands from groups like Revoke the ICE Permit PDX. A September 1 march of over 1,000 featured a symbolic guillotine (protester symbol) and flag-burning, prompting chemical munitions by federal agents.

Seattle, Washington; Oakland, California; Los Angeles, California; New York City, New York, Solidarity protests are referenced in online calls, with reinforcement appeals to Seattle and Los Angeles. Oakland’s July 2025 anti-ICE blockade drew ~300 participants; Los Angeles rallies have drawn up to 500. New York City’s networks remain more diffuse, focusing on migrant rights rather than ICE directly. No permit filings are reported for September 28 events.

Eugene and Corvallis, Oregon — On September 24, DHS detained eight protesters at Eugene’s federal building after barrier interference. On September 25, Corvallis saw detentions for property interference, showing regional spillover.

Participation & Activity

• Turnout: Hundreds to low thousands expected in Portland; dozens to hundreds in Seattle, Los Angeles, and other cities if reinforcements arrive.
• Tactics: Road-blocking marches, chants, banners decrying ICE as an “occupation force” (protester rhetoric), barricades using debris or bicycles. Antifa-linked actors may escalate with ballistic shields, fireworks, incendiaries, or lasers, especially if federal troops in armored vehicles engage.

Impacts

• Road closures and traffic disruption likely in Portland’s South Waterfront.
• Property damage, graffiti, and clashes pose moderate-to-high risk in Portland; elevated risk in Seattle and Los Angeles due to reinforcement calls.
• Firearms: No confirmed threats, though fringe Telegram and X posts include violent rhetoric (“confront troops head-on”) and doxxing of federal personnel.
• Federal deployments may deter escalation or act as provocation, eroding community trust.

Timeline & Enforcement

• September 22 — Trump issues EO 14097 designating Antifa; legal challenges anticipated.
• September 25–26 — “Mass action” calls surge; DHS arrests five Antifa-linked individuals for throwing rocks and fireworks. PPB monitoring continues.
• September 27 — Trump announces troop deployment via Truth Social; armored vehicles reported in Portland. Local leaders denounce the move as incitement.
• September 28 (planned) — Nationwide convergence at ICE facilities. The Federal Protective Service (FPS) within DHS coordinates with the National Guard. PPB tactical units expected nearby; sanctuary policies may complicate coordination.

Radical Involvement

• Antifa (designated via EO; linked by arrests): Accounts endorse September 28 protests and signal confrontation. DHS filings document recent arrests for projectile assaults at ICE. Interstate mobilization from Seattle and Los Angeles is promoted on social media.
• Risk: Escalation could include projectiles, lasers, doxxing of federal staff, and symbolic provocations (e.g., guillotines), alongside clashes with FPS or Guard units. Counter-protesters may also emerge.

Threat & Risk Assessment

Assessment

Confirmed

• Calls for September 28 ICE Report updated protests, with Portland as hub.
• Portland’s protest environment includes long-standing clashes and 28 permit violations.
• EO 14097 designates Antifa as domestic terrorist organization.
• Federal troop deployment order issued September 27.

Plausible

• Troop deployments may catalyze unrest; scope and rules of engagement unclear.
• Antifa/communist groups could escalate tactics; reinforcement calls circulating.
• Solidarity actions in Seattle, Los Angeles, Oakland, NYC may draw moderate turnout.

Developing

• Local enforcement posture evolving; Oregon leaders’ press conference may clarify.
• No confirmed organized violence beyond rhetoric/arrests, but Antifa designation and history justify heightened monitoring.

Outlook

Protests are highly likely in Portland, with ripple effects to Seattle, Los Angeles, and other cities. Federal deployments may deter escalation or inflame tensions.

• Best-case: Controlled rallies, limited arrests.
• Worst-case: Riot declarations, chemical agents, injuries, doxxing reprisals, and sanctuary trust erosion, echoing 2020 unrest.

Indicators to Watch

• Antifa-linked chatter (shields, guillotines, turnout confirmations).
• Counter-protester or militia mobilization.
• PPB/FPS announcements on staging or curfews.
• Evidence of prepositioned materials (fireworks caches, accelerants).

Recommendations

• Avoid ICE perimeters September 28, especially Portland’s South Waterfront.
• Monitor PPB, Oregon State Police, and DHS advisories in real time.
• Document protest activity with timestamps for after-action review.
• Provide mental health and community support for affected residents.

Sources

• White House Presidential Actions Archive (September 22, 2025) – EO 14097 designating Antifa.
• Portland Tribune (September 27, 2025) – ICE protests and permit disputes.
• Oregon Public Broadcasting (September 27, 2025) – federal deployments, state response.
• DHS FPS enforcement logs (September 24–26, 2025) – protester arrests, facility assaults.
• Oregon Capital Chronicle (September 27, 2025) – leaders’ rejection of troop deployment.
• Social media monitoring (X, Telegram, Reddit threads; Andy Ngo reporting).

Definitions

• ICE – U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement
• PPB – Portland Police Bureau
• DHS – U.S. Department of Homeland Security
• FPS – Federal Protective Service (DHS component)
• MagCon Threat Level – MAGNET Convention threat scale (Routine GREEN 5 to Critical RED 1)
• Antifa – Anti-fascist, decentralized protest networks
• National Guard – Reserve military force under joint state/federal control
• EO – Executive Order (e.g., EO 14097, Sept 22, 2025 Antifa designation)